A new general election poll has Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton with a slight lead over Donald Trump in a general election matchup, but the presumptive Republican nominee continues to excel among while male voters.
The Quinnipiac University poll released today has Trump leading among both white men and women, but the gap for men is much more pronounced when considering a specific subset.
The poll has Trump leading Clinton among white men 60 percent to 26 percent in a head-to-head matchup. Among white women, Trump has a 1 percent lead (43-42), which is within the margin of error.
Trump is also leading among all voters who have no college degree. That lead is largest among white voters without a college degree, with 55 percent favoring Trump to 28 percent favoring Clinton, according to the Quinnipiac poll.
That gap tightens dramatically when looking at the entire voting pool of voters without college degrees: Trump only leads by 1 point, with 43 percent to Clinton's 42 percent.
College-educated white voters prefer Trump to Clinton, 46 percent to 38 percent, but when all college educated voters are considered, the preference flips. When all races are considered, college educated voters prefer Clinton 47 percent to Trump’s 39 percent.
In the most recent ABC News-Washington Post poll, released May 22, Trump was leading Clinton among men overall (56 percent to 34 percent), white male college graduates (59 to Clinton's 33) and white men without college degrees (76 percent to Clinton's 14 percent).
All three of those demographics showed an increase in preference for Trump since the prior ABC News-Washington Post poll in March. The most dramatic difference came among white male voters without a college degree: in March, Trump had 65 percent of their favor while Clinton had 26 percent. Clinton then dropped 12 points and Trump gained 11 points over the next two months, leading them to the 76-14 split.
Trump appears to be aware of his appeal among less-educated voters. During his victory speech in Nevada in February, Trump said: "We won with the highly educated, we won with the poorly educated! I love the poorly educated!"
Trump's policies appeal to white working-class men because of how the country has changed in the past several decades, Bruce Cain, a political science professor at Stanford University in California, said.
"This is the group that economically and socially have lost the most ground in America over the last 30 or 40 years," Cain told ABC News Tuesday.
"There was a time when, by virtue of being a man, you could feel superior to women in the workforce. There was a time when you could make a pretty good living in manufacturing and that’s disappearing. There was a time when you didn’t feel a lot of competition from immigrants ... and that’s disappearing," he said.
Cain said Trump isn't the first politician to suggest solutions for such feelings.
"Look at Pat Buchanan or you look at Sarah Palin, Michele Bachmann; all these people have, in various ways, tapped that same thing. But add to that a celebrity business person who had his own reality-TV show. Throw that on top of a real instinct for the jugular, which Donald has; you've got the perfect spokesman for these people," Cain said.
James Campbell, a professor of political science at the University at Buffalo in New York who has written a book about political polarization, said Trump's treatment of women has also led to a larger gender gap than simply relying on those "who have been disappointed and 'left behind' in recent years."
"Many of them would be white males," Campbell said.
He added that Trump's "loads" of interviews by Howard Stern, his jabs at Fox anchor Megyn Kelly and former candidate Carly Fiorina, and Clinton's appeal as the first female likely nominee, "all adds up to a whopping big gender gap."
from ABC News: Politics http://ift.tt/1P5rhsg
via IFTTT
0 Response to "Trump's Sizable Lead Among White Male Voters Increases"
Posting Komentar